How do you prepare for Peak Oil?

Cathy at Snippets&Bits asked me for my opinion on how to make sense of all the information out there on preparing for Peak Oil. This was my response to her question:

While I'm still a relative newcomer to Peak Oil, I've been researching challenges and solutions feverishly since I stumbled upon the topic. The strategy I'm starting to develop is this: First, focus on yourself. This isn't selfishness -- if you don't tend to your own needs before worrying about the rest of the world, all the knowledge you're trying to share and build could be lost.

Even looking at bare survival is overwhelming. I would suggest first focusing on addictions & dependencies -- cut out alcohol, caffeine, cigarettes -- as you'll have enough to worry about later on without the added burden of caffeine headaches and smoke cravings when these things become scarce. Next, look at pure survival as a hunter-gatherer. Find out what wild edibles grow around your area, learn to recognize and process them. Learn how to construct basic traps and how to prepare & cook animals. Learn how to collect water, filter it, and make fire.

Moving up the next rung of civilization, learn to grow your own food. Focus on labor-saving techniques like square-foot gardening, heavy mulching (e.g. Ruth Stout), and companion planting. While time is growing short to develop these skills, it's best to start small and build from season to season until you have enough to feed yourself for at least a year. Hand-in-hand with growing your own food is securing a water source, which (more often than not) probably involves collecting rainwater in large containers.

Okay, now you can at least survive a total societal collapse (if it indeed plays out that way) and you are free to start learning how to thrive. That's the idea behind the example Homestead Project on PeakOilDesign -- you're considering every aspect of your future, how they interplay, and you're looking at every likely threat to the homestead's function. This extends to raising animals and intensive gardening, making clothing, building (or modifying) a house, and producing energy.

At this point, you've mapped out your basic personal survival. Now is the time to start exploring survival for a larger group. I personally like the idea of small communities, but I also think it's a natural conclusion in a suddenly low-energy world. Without major infrastructure or vast amounts of usable energy, local community-centered societies are the only immediate possibility. Collective civilization will have to wait a while.

Detailed planning is important to ensure a community's long-term viability, and that's the next project I plan to tackle in the near future. This is a fairly alien concept in America, as evidenced by the unchecked sprawl in every locale. A community allows individuals to specialize in certain areas (but perhaps not too much, or we could find ourselves without needed skills again if disaster strikes) and distribute the workload. There is strength in a close-knit community as well as increased security.

Farther down the line, communities can gain strength from each other and build networks of mutual trade and support. There will likely be a lot of dark forces our there (e.g. displaced gangs, paramilitary groups) that a single community could not hope to conquer. Alliances of healthy communities should have a much easier time dealing with those types of undesirables.

So, it's a long road to fully prepare, which is probably why there is so much jumbled information out there. You have to start small and dream big, all the while increasing your chances of not only surviving, but thriving.

Thanks for Giving Us a Heads UP!

Thanks for taking the time to answer that question. I know you're busy and I appreciate it.

There is a lot of conflicting information out there about Peak Oil and I find few concrete suggestions for handling it personally. Your insights might clear the air and give the rest of us a place to start. I value your opinion as I'm sure others do as well.

Sure :)

Well, I appreciate the kind words, Cathy. I suppose being a government employee I'm getting good at sifting through piles of BS ;)

Along the Same Lines

I agree.

It is really easy to get overwhelmed if you look at the big picture. Like anything, I think mental preparation is integral, if not the most important aspect. Instead of getting pessimistic, retaining a degree of optimism is essential (but realistic optimism). Be prepared for the worst, hope for the best. I would recommend having emergency stores first, then developing knowledge for surviving in the wild. I am debating the merits of developing anything further until TSHTF (whenever that is). Between the unpredictable actions of government, banks, and angry mobs, I'm not sure I want to have all my eggs in one basket yet. Developing the know-how, however, is important. The infrastructure will only get more expensive to attain, but there is some risk in having too much and thinking too far ahead of your neighbors. In the right community, though, you might be relatively safe, especially if you spread out your tools/infrastructure somewhat.

I think you're right, Jade

I think you're right, Jade -- building up supplies to handle shortages should be included earlier in the order of preparation. It's essentially preparing for a different level of catastrophe: you need protection against temporary resource shortages but also sustained destruction of the supply chain.

There's of course the whole debate of how much you should store: 1 week, 1 month, 6 months, a year... I think it depends on the commonly available resources in your area and the types of disasters that could strike. We currently have only a 10 day (minimum) supply of food here in Florida, but that's primarily because we would be attempting to bug out for any disruption with the potential to be more significant than that. For instance, we would strapping our gas cans to the top of our car and zipping out with anything greater than a Cat I hurricane headed in our direction. Of course, some things strike without warning...

Of course, some things strike without warning...

And in these cases it'll be unknown how strong, permanent or wide-spread fast-hitting forces will be. It's these unknowns that can make static homesteads and communities vulnerable, which is why I've been torn for some time now between developing our 40 acres up north, or adapting to a nomadic lifestyle.

I've decided to spend 2007 learning 3 new skills; growing food, sailing, and caring for and riding horses. The least interesting of these is growing food, but it could prove to be the most valuable. Hence my sub-blog here at PeakOilDesign, Calorie Calculating, which I will begin this weekend.

I'm lucky to be living in Milwaukee. In addition to having dozens of organic farmers in the area, most of which invite volunteers, we also have the Milwaukee Community Sailing Center where just about anyone can afford lessons, and a small handful of farmers that offer horseback riding classes.

In line with dropping addictions & dependencies is overcoming chronic illness. In a worst case scenario, people who require routine medical attention will suffer or die. I've seen remarkable albeit small improvements in my illness in the short time since starting a naturopathic approach to healing, and hope this trend will continue.

I don't believe in the Mayan calendar even though I'm fascinated by it. It's strangely curious how things today seem to be so much in line with their 2012 prediction of the planets rebirth. If I wasn't an atheist I'd use the phase 'I've been blessed' to describe my curiosity, creativity and adaptability. Letting go of my dreams from years past, strongly rooted in a stable future, was at first sad and difficult. But I have an adventurous and optimistic spirit that seems well suited for the changes and challenges that lie ahead, be it in a community or traveling the world.

Adapting to Change

Good for you, Jeff! Change can be hard to deal with, but I feel we are going to have to get used to it, and learn to thrive in it. I like your goals for 2007. Wishing you continued improvement of your health in 2007!

Thanks Jade, nice words to

Thanks Jade, nice words to hear.

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